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Analyses of current macro and market developments

July 1, 2024

News

Can US households continue driving growth?

Consumers are the Atlas holding up the American economy. With the US representing around one-quarter of global output, and with personal consumption accounting for an estimated 70% of US GDP, the willingness and ability of US households to spend, matters. In the period following the...

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June 3, 2024

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European energy – everything under control?

Prior to the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the lion’s share of Europe’s energy imports came from Russia. It accounted for 28% of the continent’s total crude oil imports, while Russian pipelines delivered 44% of all imported gas. The outbreak of war and the...

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April 22, 2024

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Paris Olympics 2024: Costs under control, unless we’re talking about real estate

    This summer, 16 million visitors are expected to descend upon Paris for the 2024 Olympics. For the host country, the Games can be a costly affair. In 2016, for example, the state of Rio de Janeiro defaulted after event-related costs caused its debt...

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March 11, 2024

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Are we watching an AI bubble inflate?

After hitting a new all-time high at the beginning of March, the S&P 500 might be on track for one of its best first quarters in decades. However, the gains are almost exclusively powered by a handful of large technology firms that are benefitting from...

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March 7, 2024

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Weighing the impact of global warming on Europe’s winter economy

  It’s peak ski season, but snow sport aficionados are arriving on European slopes to discover that a crucial ingredient is in short supply: snow. In the Alps, the world’s most popular ski destination, regions that depend on ski tourism are in a race against...

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